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Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
SAFTFinancial ServicesNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.25B | 7.9% | $99.07M | $191.87M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.38B | 7.9% | $109.38M | $211.83M | $192.57M |
| 2028 | $1.53B | 7.9% | $120.75M | $233.86M | $193.27M |
| 2029 | $1.69B | 7.9% | $133.31M | $258.18M | $193.97M |
| 2030 | $1.86B | 7.9% | $147.17M | $285.03M | $194.68M |
| 2031 | $2.06B | 7.9% | $162.48M | $314.67M | $195.39M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.70 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +40.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $36.422 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 11.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $418.85 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $260.07 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $182.05 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $130.04 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $274.46 | $302.49 | $340.72 |
| 10.0% | $246.15 | $266.82 | $293.85 |
| 11.0% | $223.84 | $239.58 | $259.51 |