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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $309.38B | 3.6% | $11.14B | -$6.81B | N/A |
| 2027 | $322.68B | 3.6% | $11.62B | -$7.10B | -$6.45B |
| 2028 | $336.56B | 3.6% | $12.12B | -$7.40B | -$6.12B |
| 2029 | $351.03B | 3.6% | $12.64B | -$7.72B | -$5.80B |
| 2030 | $366.13B | 3.6% | $13.18B | -$8.05B | -$5.50B |
| 2031 | $381.87B | 3.6% | $13.75B | -$8.40B | -$5.22B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $346.64 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $3,634.78 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 7.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $27,260.88 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $16,926.86 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $11,848.80 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $8,463.43 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$29.237 | -$31.669 | -$34.986 |
| 10.0% | -$26.769 | -$28.562 | -$30.907 |
| 11.0% | -$24.822 | -$26.187 | -$27.917 |