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Rio Tinto Group
RTPPFBasic MaterialsOTCGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $58.92B | 17.3% | $10.19B | $4.89B | N/A |
| 2027 | $53.38B | 17.3% | $9.23B | $4.43B | $4.03B |
| 2028 | $48.36B | 17.3% | $8.37B | $4.01B | $3.32B |
| 2029 | $43.82B | 17.3% | $7.58B | $3.64B | $2.73B |
| 2030 | $39.70B | 17.3% | $6.87B | $3.29B | $2.25B |
| 2031 | $35.97B | 17.3% | $6.22B | $2.99B | $1.85B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.22 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -11.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $3.301 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $41.595 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $25.827 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $18.079 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $12.914 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $21.041 | $24.603 | $29.46 |
| 10.0% | $17.373 | $19.999 | $23.433 |
| 11.0% | $14.469 | $16.468 | $19.001 |