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Rio Tinto Group
RIOBasic MaterialsNYSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $57.77B | 17.3% | $9.99B | $4.80B | N/A |
| 2027 | $52.34B | 17.3% | $9.06B | $4.34B | $3.95B |
| 2028 | $47.42B | 17.3% | $8.20B | $3.94B | $3.25B |
| 2029 | $42.96B | 17.3% | $7.43B | $3.57B | $2.68B |
| 2030 | $38.93B | 17.3% | $6.73B | $3.23B | $2.21B |
| 2031 | $35.27B | 17.3% | $6.10B | $2.93B | $1.82B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.10 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -13.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $2.937 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 13 | P/E |
| Future price | $38.181 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $23.707 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $16.595 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $11.854 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $19.257 | $22.552 | $27.046 |
| 10.0% | $15.863 | $18.293 | $21.47 |
| 11.0% | $13.176 | $15.026 | $17.37 |