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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
RCLConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $17.93B | 23.8% | $4.27B | $1.24B | N/A |
| 2027 | $18.89B | 23.8% | $4.49B | $1.30B | $1.18B |
| 2028 | $19.89B | 23.8% | $4.73B | $1.37B | $1.13B |
| 2029 | $20.94B | 23.8% | $4.98B | $1.44B | $1.09B |
| 2030 | $22.05B | 23.8% | $5.25B | $1.52B | $1.04B |
| 2031 | $23.22B | 23.8% | $5.53B | $1.60B | $994.78M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $15.61 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +43.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $93.343 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 17.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $1,652.18 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,025.87 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $718.11 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $512.94 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$7.475 | $1.149 | $12.909 |
| 10.0% | -$16.217 | -$9.859 | -$1.544 |
| 11.0% | -$23.113 | -$18.272 | -$12.14 |