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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7.21B | 38.4% | $2.77B | $4.32B | N/A |
| 2027 | $5.76B | 38.4% | $2.21B | $3.46B | $3.14B |
| 2028 | $4.61B | 38.4% | $1.77B | $2.77B | $2.29B |
| 2029 | $3.69B | 38.4% | $1.42B | $2.21B | $1.66B |
| 2030 | $2.95B | 38.4% | $1.13B | $1.77B | $1.21B |
| 2031 | $2.36B | 38.4% | $906.60M | $1.42B | $879.57M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $44.14 | 2023-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $3.432 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 11.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $39.472 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $24.509 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $17.156 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $12.254 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $6.044 | $6.412 | $6.913 |
| 10.0% | $5.659 | $5.93 | $6.284 |
| 11.0% | $5.352 | $5.559 | $5.82 |