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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $223.30B | 13.7% | $30.59B | $23.89B | N/A |
| 2027 | $227.99B | 13.7% | $31.24B | $24.40B | $22.18B |
| 2028 | $232.78B | 13.7% | $31.89B | $24.91B | $20.58B |
| 2029 | $237.67B | 13.7% | $32.56B | $25.43B | $19.11B |
| 2030 | $242.66B | 13.7% | $33.24B | $25.96B | $17.73B |
| 2031 | $247.76B | 13.7% | $33.94B | $26.51B | $16.46B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $141.72 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -5.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $109.08 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9 | P/E |
| Future price | $981.76 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $609.59 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $426.72 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $304.80 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$0.984 | $1.538 | $4.978 |
| 10.0% | -$3.548 | -$1.688 | $0.744 |
| 11.0% | -$5.572 | -$4.156 | -$2.362 |