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PDD Holdings Inc.
PDDConsumer CyclicalNASDAQIE
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $431.85B | 22.7% | $98.03B | $105.80B | N/A |
| 2027 | $469.42B | 22.7% | $106.56B | $115.01B | $104.55B |
| 2028 | $510.26B | 22.7% | $115.83B | $125.01B | $103.32B |
| 2029 | $554.65B | 22.7% | $125.91B | $135.89B | $102.10B |
| 2030 | $602.90B | 22.7% | $136.86B | $147.71B | $100.89B |
| 2031 | $655.35B | 22.7% | $148.77B | $160.56B | $99.70B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $65.24 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -14.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $29.118 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 11.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $329.03 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $204.30 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $143.01 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $102.15 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $186.37 | $204.28 | $228.71 |
| 10.0% | $168.27 | $181.47 | $198.74 |
| 11.0% | $153.99 | $164.05 | $176.78 |