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PACCAR Inc
PCARIndustrialsNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $28.44B | 8.4% | $2.39B | $3.02B | N/A |
| 2027 | $28.39B | 8.4% | $2.38B | $3.01B | $2.74B |
| 2028 | $28.33B | 8.4% | $2.38B | $3.00B | $2.48B |
| 2029 | $28.27B | 8.4% | $2.38B | $3.00B | $2.25B |
| 2030 | $28.22B | 8.4% | $2.37B | $2.99B | $2.04B |
| 2031 | $28.16B | 8.4% | $2.37B | $2.99B | $1.85B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $4.51 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.351 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 24.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $8.487 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $5.27 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $3.689 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $2.635 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $95.552 | $104.34 | $116.32 |
| 10.0% | $86.60 | $93.079 | $101.55 |
| 11.0% | $79.531 | $84.464 | $90.712 |