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Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.
PARREnergyNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7.46B | 4.9% | $365.77M | $298.59M | N/A |
| 2027 | $6.98B | 4.9% | $341.99M | $279.18M | $253.80M |
| 2028 | $6.53B | 4.9% | $319.76M | $261.03M | $215.73M |
| 2029 | $6.10B | 4.9% | $298.98M | $244.06M | $183.37M |
| 2030 | $5.71B | 4.9% | $279.55M | $228.20M | $155.86M |
| 2031 | $5.33B | 4.9% | $261.37M | $213.37M | $132.48M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $7.16 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $75.078 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $360.37 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $223.76 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $156.63 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $111.88 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $50.253 | $59.902 | $73.06 |
| 10.0% | $40.354 | $47.468 | $56.771 |
| 11.0% | $32.523 | $37.94 | $44.801 |