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Ontrak, Inc.
OTRKHealthcareNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $10.85M | 1.0% | $108.5K | -$5.42M | N/A |
| 2027 | $15.18M | 1.0% | $151.8K | -$7.59M | -$6.90M |
| 2028 | $21.26M | 1.0% | $212.6K | -$10.63M | -$8.78M |
| 2029 | $29.76M | 1.0% | $297.6K | -$14.88M | -$11.18M |
| 2030 | $41.67M | 1.0% | $416.7K | -$20.83M | -$14.23M |
| 2031 | $58.33M | 1.0% | $583.3K | -$29.17M | -$18.11M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$5.49 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +8.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$12.72 | -$14.402 | -$16.697 |
| 10.0% | -$11.045 | -$12.285 | -$13.907 |
| 11.0% | -$9.729 | -$10.674 | -$11.87 |