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Orogen Royalties Inc.
OGNRFBasic MaterialsOTCCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $9.35M | 27.7% | $2.59M | $3.05M | N/A |
| 2027 | $13.09M | 27.7% | $3.62M | $4.27M | $3.88M |
| 2028 | $18.32M | 27.7% | $5.07M | $5.97M | $4.94M |
| 2029 | $25.65M | 27.7% | $7.10M | $8.36M | $6.28M |
| 2030 | $35.91M | 27.7% | $9.95M | $11.71M | $8.00M |
| 2031 | $50.27M | 27.7% | $13.93M | $16.39M | $10.18M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.01 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -18.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.004 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 101.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $0.359 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $0.223 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.156 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.111 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $1.102 | $1.232 | $1.409 |
| 10.0% | $0.973 | $1.069 | $1.194 |
| 11.0% | $0.872 | $0.945 | $1.037 |