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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $421.37B | 8.9% | $37.50B | -$24.86B | N/A |
| 2027 | $440.33B | 8.9% | $39.19B | -$25.98B | -$23.62B |
| 2028 | $460.14B | 8.9% | $40.95B | -$27.15B | -$22.44B |
| 2029 | $480.85B | 8.9% | $42.80B | -$28.37B | -$21.31B |
| 2030 | $502.49B | 8.9% | $44.72B | -$29.65B | -$20.25B |
| 2031 | $525.10B | 8.9% | $46.73B | -$30.98B | -$19.24B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $108.65 | 2026-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -26.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $23.625 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 16.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $392.17 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $243.51 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $170.46 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $121.75 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$18.44 | -$19.261 | -$20.382 |
| 10.0% | -$17.606 | -$18.212 | -$19.004 |
| 11.0% | -$16.949 | -$17.41 | -$17.994 |