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Orica Limited
OCLDFBasic MaterialsOTCAU
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5.38B | 2.0% | $107.67M | $371.47M | N/A |
| 2027 | $5.52B | 2.0% | $110.37M | $380.76M | $346.15M |
| 2028 | $5.66B | 2.0% | $113.12M | $390.28M | $322.55M |
| 2029 | $5.80B | 2.0% | $115.95M | $400.04M | $300.55M |
| 2030 | $5.94B | 2.0% | $118.85M | $410.04M | $280.06M |
| 2031 | $6.09B | 2.0% | $121.82M | $420.29M | $260.97M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.22 | 2025-09-30 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.017 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 94.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $1.618 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1.005 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.703 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.502 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $4.064 | $4.895 | $6.027 |
| 10.0% | $3.22 | $3.833 | $4.633 |
| 11.0% | $2.554 | $3.021 | $3.611 |