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Ocado Group plc
OCDO.LConsumer DefensiveLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £1.38B | 29.3% | £404.84M | £151.99M | N/A |
| 2027 | £1.50B | 29.3% | £438.44M | £164.60M | £149.64M |
| 2028 | £1.62B | 29.3% | £474.83M | £178.26M | £147.33M |
| 2029 | £1.76B | 29.3% | £514.24M | £193.06M | £145.05M |
| 2030 | £1.90B | 29.3% | £556.92M | £209.08M | £142.81M |
| 2031 | £2.06B | 29.3% | £603.15M | £226.44M | £140.60M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.45 | 2025-11-30 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £4.719 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | £18.874 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £11.719 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £8.204 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £5.86 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £197.68 | £243.00 | £304.80 |
| 10.0% | £151.85 | £185.26 | £228.96 |
| 11.0% | £115.72 | £141.16 | £173.38 |