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Ocado Group plc
OCDGFConsumer DefensiveOTCGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.38B | 29.3% | $404.47M | $151.85M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.50B | 29.3% | $438.04M | $164.45M | $149.50M |
| 2028 | $1.62B | 29.3% | $474.40M | $178.10M | $147.19M |
| 2029 | $1.75B | 29.3% | $513.78M | $192.89M | $144.92M |
| 2030 | $1.90B | 29.3% | $556.42M | $208.90M | $142.68M |
| 2031 | $2.06B | 29.3% | $602.60M | $226.23M | $140.47M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.45 | 2025-11-30 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $4.719 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $18.874 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $11.719 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $8.204 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $5.86 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $2.732 | $3.358 | $4.212 |
| 10.0% | $2.098 | $2.56 | $3.164 |
| 11.0% | $1.599 | $1.95 | $2.396 |