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Novartis AG
NVSHealthcareNYSECH
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $54.81B | 25.6% | $14.03B | $17.70B | N/A |
| 2027 | $57.17B | 25.6% | $14.64B | $18.47B | $16.79B |
| 2028 | $59.63B | 25.6% | $15.26B | $19.26B | $15.92B |
| 2029 | $62.19B | 25.6% | $15.92B | $20.09B | $15.09B |
| 2030 | $64.86B | 25.6% | $16.61B | $20.95B | $14.31B |
| 2031 | $67.65B | 25.6% | $17.32B | $21.85B | $13.57B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $7.19 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +22.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $19.834 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 19 | P/E |
| Future price | $376.85 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $233.99 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $163.79 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $117.00 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $136.41 | $154.13 | $178.29 |
| 10.0% | $118.43 | $131.50 | $148.58 |
| 11.0% | $104.25 | $114.20 | $126.80 |