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Novavax, Inc.
NVAXHealthcareNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.12B | 39.2% | $440.40M | -$250.54M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.21B | 39.2% | $475.20M | -$270.33M | -$245.75M |
| 2028 | $1.31B | 39.2% | $512.74M | -$291.68M | -$241.06M |
| 2029 | $1.41B | 39.2% | $553.24M | -$314.73M | -$236.46M |
| 2030 | $1.52B | 39.2% | $596.95M | -$339.59M | -$231.94M |
| 2031 | $1.64B | 39.2% | $644.11M | -$366.42M | -$227.52M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.54 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $26.634 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $106.54 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $66.15 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $46.305 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $33.075 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$34.452 | -$39.094 | -$45.424 |
| 10.0% | -$29.756 | -$33.179 | -$37.654 |
| 11.0% | -$26.054 | -$28.66 | -$31.96 |