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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.64T | 3.1% | $143.80B | -$292.24B | N/A |
| 2027 | $4.90T | 3.1% | $151.85B | -$308.60B | -$280.55B |
| 2028 | $5.17T | 3.1% | $160.36B | -$325.89B | -$269.33B |
| 2029 | $5.46T | 3.1% | $169.34B | -$344.14B | -$258.55B |
| 2030 | $5.77T | 3.1% | $178.82B | -$363.41B | -$248.21B |
| 2031 | $6.09T | 3.1% | $188.83B | -$383.76B | -$238.28B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $101.60 | 2025-03-31 |
| EPS growth | +6.4% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $138.55 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 26.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $3,713.10 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2,305.54 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,613.88 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1,152.77 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$44.08 | -$47.585 | -$52.366 |
| 10.0% | -$40.527 | -$43.112 | -$46.492 |
| 11.0% | -$37.725 | -$39.693 | -$42.186 |