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Norfolk Southern Corporation
NSCIndustrialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $12.18B | 23.6% | $2.87B | $2.16B | N/A |
| 2027 | $12.81B | 23.6% | $3.02B | $2.27B | $2.06B |
| 2028 | $13.48B | 23.6% | $3.18B | $2.39B | $1.97B |
| 2029 | $14.18B | 23.6% | $3.35B | $2.51B | $1.89B |
| 2030 | $14.92B | 23.6% | $3.52B | $2.64B | $1.80B |
| 2031 | $15.69B | 23.6% | $3.70B | $2.78B | $1.72B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $12.75 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +10.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $20.628 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 22.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $466.18 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $289.46 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $202.62 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $144.73 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $89.724 | $109.22 | $135.80 |
| 10.0% | $69.962 | $84.335 | $103.13 |
| 11.0% | $54.372 | $65.316 | $79.178 |