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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $21.83B | 22.2% | $4.85B | -$3.80B | N/A |
| 2027 | $22.46B | 22.2% | $4.99B | -$3.91B | -$3.55B |
| 2028 | $23.11B | 22.2% | $5.13B | -$4.02B | -$3.32B |
| 2029 | $23.78B | 22.2% | $5.28B | -$4.14B | -$3.11B |
| 2030 | $24.47B | 22.2% | $5.43B | -$4.26B | -$2.91B |
| 2031 | $25.18B | 22.2% | $5.59B | -$4.38B | -$2.72B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.39 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -3.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.163 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 11.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $13.377 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $8.306 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $5.814 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $4.153 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$70.618 | -$72.714 | -$75.573 |
| 10.0% | -$68.489 | -$70.034 | -$72.055 |
| 11.0% | -$66.808 | -$67.985 | -$69.476 |