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Novan, Inc.
NOVNHealthcareNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $23.61M | 1.0% | $236.1K | -$11.80M | N/A |
| 2027 | $25.40M | 1.0% | $254.0K | -$12.70M | -$11.55M |
| 2028 | $27.33M | 1.0% | $273.3K | -$13.67M | -$11.30M |
| 2029 | $29.41M | 1.0% | $294.1K | -$14.71M | -$11.05M |
| 2030 | $31.65M | 1.0% | $316.5K | -$15.82M | -$10.81M |
| 2031 | $34.05M | 1.0% | $340.5K | -$17.03M | -$10.57M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$0.89 | 2022-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +47.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$0.58 | -$0.652 | -$0.751 |
| 10.0% | -$0.507 | -$0.56 | -$0.63 |
| 11.0% | -$0.449 | -$0.49 | -$0.541 |