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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $205.13B | 6.7% | $13.74B | $19.28B | N/A |
| 2027 | $212.10B | 6.7% | $14.21B | $19.94B | $18.13B |
| 2028 | $219.31B | 6.7% | $14.69B | $20.62B | $17.04B |
| 2029 | $226.77B | 6.7% | $15.19B | $21.32B | $16.02B |
| 2030 | $234.48B | 6.7% | $15.71B | $22.04B | $15.05B |
| 2031 | $242.45B | 6.7% | $16.24B | $22.79B | $14.15B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $169.64 | 2024-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -3.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $141.23 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $1,722.95 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,069.82 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $748.87 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $534.91 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $47.819 | $53.346 | $60.884 |
| 10.0% | $42.206 | $46.282 | $51.611 |
| 11.0% | $37.777 | $40.88 | $44.811 |