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Nogin, Inc.
NOGNTechnologyNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $94.47M | 1.0% | $944.7K | -$28.15M | N/A |
| 2027 | $132.26M | 1.0% | $1.32M | -$39.41M | -$35.83M |
| 2028 | $185.16M | 1.0% | $1.85M | -$55.18M | -$45.60M |
| 2029 | $259.23M | 1.0% | $2.59M | -$77.25M | -$58.04M |
| 2030 | $362.92M | 1.0% | $3.63M | -$108.15M | -$73.87M |
| 2031 | $508.09M | 1.0% | $5.08M | -$151.41M | -$94.01M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$21.50 | 2022-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$2.769 | -$3.124 | -$3.609 |
| 10.0% | -$2.415 | -$2.677 | -$3.02 |
| 11.0% | -$2.137 | -$2.337 | -$2.589 |