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North American Construction Group Ltd.
NOA.TOEnergyTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.28B | 2.6% | $33.39M | -$26.97M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.37B | 2.6% | $35.63M | -$28.78M | -$26.16M |
| 2028 | $1.46B | 2.6% | $38.02M | -$30.71M | -$25.38M |
| 2029 | $1.56B | 2.6% | $40.56M | -$32.76M | -$24.61M |
| 2030 | $1.66B | 2.6% | $43.28M | -$34.96M | -$23.88M |
| 2031 | $1.78B | 2.6% | $46.18M | -$37.30M | -$23.16M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$1.14 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -28.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$0.213 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 16.7 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$3.558 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$2.209 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$1.546 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$1.104 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -CA$43.222 | -CA$45.058 | -CA$47.561 |
| 10.0% | -CA$41.363 | -CA$42.716 | -CA$44.486 |
| 11.0% | -CA$39.897 | -CA$40.927 | -CA$42.233 |