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Netflix, Inc.
NFLXCommunication ServicesNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $45.18B | 24.3% | $10.98B | $9.44B | N/A |
| 2027 | $48.80B | 24.3% | $11.86B | $10.20B | $9.27B |
| 2028 | $52.70B | 24.3% | $12.81B | $11.01B | $9.10B |
| 2029 | $56.92B | 24.3% | $13.83B | $11.90B | $8.94B |
| 2030 | $61.47B | 24.3% | $14.94B | $12.85B | $8.77B |
| 2031 | $66.39B | 24.3% | $16.13B | $13.88B | $8.62B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.53 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +27.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $8.392 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 36.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $302.94 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $188.10 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $131.67 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $94.051 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $33.693 | $37.872 | $43.57 |
| 10.0% | $29.466 | $32.547 | $36.576 |
| 11.0% | $26.134 | $28.48 | $31.451 |