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Newcrest Mining Limited
NCMGFBasic MaterialsOTCAU
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.51B | 17.3% | $779.88M | $500.39M | N/A |
| 2027 | $4.96B | 17.3% | $857.87M | $550.43M | $500.39M |
| 2028 | $5.45B | 17.3% | $943.66M | $605.47M | $500.39M |
| 2029 | $6.00B | 17.3% | $1.04B | $666.02M | $500.39M |
| 2030 | $6.60B | 17.3% | $1.14B | $732.62M | $500.39M |
| 2031 | $7.26B | 17.3% | $1.26B | $805.88M | $500.39M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.87 | 2023-06-30 |
| EPS growth | -15.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.375 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 20.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $7.683 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $4.771 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $3.34 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $2.385 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $7.886 | $9.003 | $10.528 |
| 10.0% | $6.757 | $7.581 | $8.659 |
| 11.0% | $5.867 | $6.494 | $7.289 |