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Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited
NCIConsumer CyclicalNASDAQHK
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $137.25M | 1.0% | $1.37M | $17.43M | N/A |
| 2027 | $150.97M | 1.0% | $1.51M | $19.17M | $17.43M |
| 2028 | $166.07M | 1.0% | $1.66M | $21.09M | $17.43M |
| 2029 | $182.68M | 1.0% | $1.83M | $23.20M | $17.43M |
| 2030 | $200.94M | 1.0% | $2.01M | $25.52M | $17.43M |
| 2031 | $221.04M | 1.0% | $2.21M | $28.07M | $17.43M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.65 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.051 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 107.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $5.449 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3.383 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2.368 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.692 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $83.853 | $95.552 | $111.50 |
| 10.0% | $72.037 | $80.662 | $91.941 |
| 11.0% | $62.723 | $69.291 | $77.609 |