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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $55.45B | 25.3% | $14.03B | -$7.71B | N/A |
| 2027 | $56.06B | 25.3% | $14.18B | -$7.79B | -$7.08B |
| 2028 | $56.68B | 25.3% | $14.34B | -$7.88B | -$6.51B |
| 2029 | $57.30B | 25.3% | $14.50B | -$7.97B | -$5.98B |
| 2030 | $57.93B | 25.3% | $14.66B | -$8.05B | -$5.50B |
| 2031 | $58.57B | 25.3% | $14.82B | -$8.14B | -$5.06B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.33 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -8.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.511 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $19.187 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $11.914 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $8.34 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $5.957 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$3.458 | -$3.736 | -$4.115 |
| 10.0% | -$3.176 | -$3.381 | -$3.648 |
| 11.0% | -$2.953 | -$3.109 | -$3.306 |