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Vail Resorts, Inc.
MTNConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.96B | 9.4% | $278.65M | $320.15M | N/A |
| 2027 | $3.07B | 9.4% | $288.12M | $331.03M | $300.94M |
| 2028 | $3.17B | 9.4% | $297.92M | $342.29M | $282.88M |
| 2029 | $3.28B | 9.4% | $308.05M | $353.93M | $265.91M |
| 2030 | $3.39B | 9.4% | $318.52M | $365.96M | $249.96M |
| 2031 | $3.50B | 9.4% | $329.35M | $378.40M | $234.96M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $7.53 | 2025-07-31 |
| EPS growth | +24.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $22.075 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 19.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $439.30 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $272.77 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $190.94 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $136.38 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $41.091 | $54.424 | $72.606 |
| 10.0% | $27.554 | $37.384 | $50.239 |
| 11.0% | $16.871 | $24.356 | $33.837 |