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Meritage Homes Corporation
MTHConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5.86B | 7.7% | $451.04M | $93.72M | N/A |
| 2027 | $6.32B | 7.7% | $486.67M | $101.13M | $91.93M |
| 2028 | $6.82B | 7.7% | $525.12M | $109.12M | $90.18M |
| 2029 | $7.36B | 7.7% | $566.60M | $117.74M | $88.46M |
| 2030 | $7.94B | 7.7% | $611.36M | $127.04M | $86.77M |
| 2031 | $8.57B | 7.7% | $659.66M | $137.07M | $85.11M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.40 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.498 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 10.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $5.126 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3.183 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2.228 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.591 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $8.005 | $10.926 | $14.908 |
| 10.0% | $5.05 | $7.204 | $10.02 |
| 11.0% | $2.72 | $4.36 | $6.437 |