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M.P. Evans Group PLC
MPE.LConsumer DefensiveLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £378.78M | 30.0% | £113.63M | £117.04M | N/A |
| 2027 | £360.98M | 30.0% | £108.29M | £111.54M | £101.40M |
| 2028 | £344.01M | 30.0% | £103.20M | £106.30M | £87.85M |
| 2029 | £327.84M | 30.0% | £98.35M | £101.30M | £76.11M |
| 2030 | £312.43M | 30.0% | £93.73M | £96.54M | £65.94M |
| 2031 | £297.75M | 30.0% | £89.32M | £92.00M | £57.13M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £2.17 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +31.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £8.468 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 7.6 | P/E |
| Future price | £64.357 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £39.961 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £27.973 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £19.98 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £2,214.71 | £2,443.36 | £2,755.17 |
| 10.0% | £1,980.64 | £2,149.22 | £2,369.68 |
| 11.0% | £1,795.58 | £1,923.94 | £2,086.53 |