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Marathon Petroleum Corporation
MPCEnergyNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $132.70B | 3.0% | $3.98B | $4.78B | N/A |
| 2027 | $139.60B | 3.0% | $4.19B | $5.03B | $4.57B |
| 2028 | $146.86B | 3.0% | $4.41B | $5.29B | $4.37B |
| 2029 | $154.50B | 3.0% | $4.63B | $5.56B | $4.18B |
| 2030 | $162.53B | 3.0% | $4.88B | $5.85B | $4.00B |
| 2031 | $170.98B | 3.0% | $5.13B | $6.16B | $3.82B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $13.27 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +31.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $51.391 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $632.11 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $392.49 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $274.74 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $196.24 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $237.46 | $284.71 | $349.14 |
| 10.0% | $189.57 | $224.40 | $269.96 |
| 11.0% | $151.78 | $178.31 | $211.90 |