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MP Materials Corp.
MPBasic MaterialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $275.46M | 1.0% | $2.75M | -$137.73M | N/A |
| 2027 | $385.64M | 1.0% | $3.86M | -$192.82M | -$175.29M |
| 2028 | $539.90M | 1.0% | $5.40M | -$269.95M | -$223.10M |
| 2029 | $755.85M | 1.0% | $7.56M | -$377.93M | -$283.94M |
| 2030 | $1.06B | 1.0% | $10.58M | -$529.10M | -$361.38M |
| 2031 | $1.48B | 1.0% | $14.81M | -$740.74M | -$459.94M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$0.50 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +12.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$50.129 | -$57.541 | -$67.648 |
| 10.0% | -$42.75 | -$48.215 | -$55.361 |
| 11.0% | -$36.953 | -$41.114 | -$46.384 |