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The Mosaic Company
MOSBasic MaterialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $12.05B | 4.5% | $542.36M | -$530.31M | N/A |
| 2027 | $10.98B | 4.5% | $494.09M | -$483.11M | -$439.19M |
| 2028 | $10.00B | 4.5% | $450.11M | -$440.11M | -$363.73M |
| 2029 | $9.11B | 4.5% | $410.05M | -$400.94M | -$301.23M |
| 2030 | $8.30B | 4.5% | $373.56M | -$365.26M | -$249.48M |
| 2031 | $7.56B | 4.5% | $340.31M | -$332.75M | -$206.61M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.70 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $17.826 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $251.34 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $156.06 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $109.25 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $78.032 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$27.722 | -$29.129 | -$31.048 |
| 10.0% | -$26.274 | -$27.312 | -$28.668 |
| 11.0% | -$25.128 | -$25.918 | -$26.918 |