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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $200.97B | 30.1% | $60.49B | $46.02B | N/A |
| 2027 | $230.51B | 30.1% | $69.38B | $52.79B | $47.99B |
| 2028 | $264.39B | 30.1% | $79.58B | $60.55B | $50.04B |
| 2029 | $303.26B | 30.1% | $91.28B | $69.45B | $52.18B |
| 2030 | $347.84B | 30.1% | $104.70B | $79.65B | $54.41B |
| 2031 | $398.97B | 30.1% | $120.09B | $91.36B | $56.73B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $23.49 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -2.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $20.591 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 27.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $566.25 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $351.60 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $246.12 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $175.80 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $381.34 | $428.66 | $493.17 |
| 10.0% | $333.71 | $368.59 | $414.20 |
| 11.0% | $296.18 | $322.74 | $356.39 |