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Mercury General Corporation
MCYFinancial ServicesNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5.99B | 9.0% | $539.32M | $1.03B | N/A |
| 2027 | $6.29B | 9.0% | $566.29M | $1.08B | $983.85M |
| 2028 | $6.61B | 9.0% | $594.60M | $1.14B | $939.13M |
| 2029 | $6.94B | 9.0% | $624.33M | $1.19B | $896.45M |
| 2030 | $7.28B | 9.0% | $655.55M | $1.25B | $855.70M |
| 2031 | $7.65B | 9.0% | $688.33M | $1.32B | $816.80M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $9.77 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +15.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $20.169 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $193.62 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $120.22 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $84.157 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $60.112 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $335.96 | $373.19 | $423.96 |
| 10.0% | $298.21 | $325.66 | $361.55 |
| 11.0% | $268.43 | $289.33 | $315.80 |