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McDonald's Corporation
MCDConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $26.89B | 31.9% | $8.58B | $7.18B | N/A |
| 2027 | $27.88B | 31.9% | $8.89B | $7.44B | $6.77B |
| 2028 | $28.91B | 31.9% | $9.22B | $7.72B | $6.38B |
| 2029 | $29.98B | 31.9% | $9.56B | $8.00B | $6.01B |
| 2030 | $31.09B | 31.9% | $9.92B | $8.30B | $5.67B |
| 2031 | $32.24B | 31.9% | $10.28B | $8.61B | $5.35B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $11.95 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +4.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $15.107 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 25.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $385.23 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $239.19 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $167.44 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $119.60 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $67.586 | $83.641 | $105.53 |
| 10.0% | $51.289 | $63.127 | $78.606 |
| 11.0% | $38.43 | $47.443 | $58.859 |