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Lynas Rare Earths Limited
LYSDYBasic MaterialsOTCAU
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $542.66M | 1.5% | $8.14M | -$271.33M | N/A |
| 2027 | $511.19M | 1.5% | $7.67M | -$255.60M | -$232.36M |
| 2028 | $481.54M | 1.5% | $7.22M | -$240.77M | -$198.98M |
| 2029 | $453.61M | 1.5% | $6.80M | -$226.81M | -$170.40M |
| 2030 | $427.30M | 1.5% | $6.41M | -$213.65M | -$145.93M |
| 2031 | $402.52M | 1.5% | $6.04M | -$201.26M | -$124.97M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.009 | 2025-06-30 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.001 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 1,011.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $0.669 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $0.415 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.291 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.208 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$4.128 | -$4.576 | -$5.185 |
| 10.0% | -$3.67 | -$4.00 | -$4.431 |
| 11.0% | -$3.308 | -$3.559 | -$3.877 |