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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $9.36B | 14.3% | $1.34B | -$4.68B | N/A |
| 2027 | $10.30B | 14.3% | $1.47B | -$5.15B | -$4.68B |
| 2028 | $11.33B | 14.3% | $1.62B | -$5.66B | -$4.68B |
| 2029 | $12.46B | 14.3% | $1.78B | -$6.23B | -$4.68B |
| 2030 | $13.71B | 14.3% | $1.96B | -$6.85B | -$4.68B |
| 2031 | $15.08B | 14.3% | $2.16B | -$7.54B | -$4.68B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.20 | 2022-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $23.069 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $92.275 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $57.295 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $40.107 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $28.648 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$149.027 | -$167.094 | -$191.73 |
| 10.0% | -$130.78 | -$144.10 | -$161.519 |
| 11.0% | -$116.397 | -$126.539 | -$139.386 |