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Li Auto Inc.
LIConsumer CyclicalNASDAQCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $109.25B | 1.0% | $1.09B | -$12.78B | N/A |
| 2027 | $120.72B | 1.0% | $1.21B | -$14.12B | -$12.84B |
| 2028 | $133.40B | 1.0% | $1.33B | -$15.61B | -$12.90B |
| 2029 | $147.41B | 1.0% | $1.47B | -$17.25B | -$12.96B |
| 2030 | $162.88B | 1.0% | $1.63B | -$19.06B | -$13.02B |
| 2031 | $179.99B | 1.0% | $1.80B | -$21.06B | -$13.08B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.04 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.081 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 109 | P/E |
| Future price | $8.815 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $5.473 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $3.831 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $2.737 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$20.042 | -$23.685 | -$28.653 |
| 10.0% | -$16.364 | -$19.05 | -$22.562 |
| 11.0% | -$13.465 | -$15.51 | -$18.10 |