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Lithia Motors, Inc.
LADConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $37.63B | 2.2% | $827.97M | $188.17M | N/A |
| 2027 | $38.01B | 2.2% | $836.25M | $190.06M | $172.78M |
| 2028 | $38.39B | 2.2% | $844.61M | $191.96M | $158.64M |
| 2029 | $38.78B | 2.2% | $853.06M | $193.88M | $145.66M |
| 2030 | $39.16B | 2.2% | $861.59M | $195.82M | $133.74M |
| 2031 | $39.55B | 2.2% | $870.20M | $197.77M | $122.80M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $32.32 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +9.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $49.728 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 10.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $512.20 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $318.04 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $222.63 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $159.02 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$407.214 | -$397.341 | -$383.878 |
| 10.0% | -$417.26 | -$409.981 | -$400.462 |
| 11.0% | -$425.192 | -$419.65 | -$412.629 |