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Kingold Jewelry, Inc.
KGJIConsumer CyclicalOTCCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.48B | 2.0% | $49.51M | $366.40M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.72B | 2.0% | $54.46M | $403.04M | $366.40M |
| 2028 | $3.00B | 2.0% | $59.91M | $443.34M | $366.40M |
| 2029 | $3.30B | 2.0% | $65.90M | $487.68M | $366.40M |
| 2030 | $3.62B | 2.0% | $72.49M | $536.44M | $366.40M |
| 2031 | $3.99B | 2.0% | $79.74M | $590.09M | $366.40M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $4.50 | 2018-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $47.186 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $188.74 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $117.19 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $82.036 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $58.597 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $0.013 | $0.014 | $0.017 |
| 10.0% | $0.011 | $0.012 | $0.014 |
| 11.0% | $0.01 | $0.011 | $0.012 |