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Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
KELRFIndustrialsOTCJP
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $334.52B | 14.4% | $48.17B | -$42.82B | N/A |
| 2027 | $340.20B | 14.4% | $48.99B | -$43.55B | -$39.59B |
| 2028 | $345.99B | 14.4% | $49.82B | -$44.29B | -$36.60B |
| 2029 | $351.87B | 14.4% | $50.67B | -$45.04B | -$33.84B |
| 2030 | $357.85B | 14.4% | $51.53B | -$45.80B | -$31.29B |
| 2031 | $363.93B | 14.4% | $52.41B | -$46.58B | -$28.92B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $100.66 | 2026-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -29.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $17.161 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 13 | P/E |
| Future price | $223.09 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $138.52 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $96.966 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $69.262 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$7.294 | -$8.026 | -$9.023 |
| 10.0% | -$6.55 | -$7.089 | -$7.795 |
| 11.0% | -$5.963 | -$6.373 | -$6.894 |