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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $26.66B | 20.3% | $5.41B | -$11.36B | N/A |
| 2027 | $25.92B | 20.3% | $5.26B | -$11.04B | -$10.04B |
| 2028 | $25.19B | 20.3% | $5.11B | -$10.73B | -$8.87B |
| 2029 | $24.49B | 20.3% | $4.97B | -$10.43B | -$7.84B |
| 2030 | $23.80B | 20.3% | $4.83B | -$10.14B | -$6.93B |
| 2031 | $23.14B | 20.3% | $4.70B | -$9.86B | -$6.12B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $85.29 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +6.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $117.40 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $469.62 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $291.60 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $204.12 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $145.80 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$8,686.464 | -$8,924.743 | -$9,249.669 |
| 10.0% | -$8,443.068 | -$8,618.746 | -$8,848.478 |
| 11.0% | -$8,250.724 | -$8,384.486 | -$8,553.917 |