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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $52.70B | 37.6% | $19.82B | -$22.87B | N/A |
| 2027 | $54.33B | 37.6% | $20.43B | -$23.58B | -$21.44B |
| 2028 | $56.02B | 37.6% | $21.06B | -$24.31B | -$20.09B |
| 2029 | $57.75B | 37.6% | $21.72B | -$25.07B | -$18.83B |
| 2030 | $59.55B | 37.6% | $22.39B | -$25.84B | -$17.65B |
| 2031 | $61.39B | 37.6% | $23.08B | -$26.64B | -$16.54B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $4,994.17 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +22.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $13,497.78 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 21.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $286,153.02 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $177,678.51 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $124,374.96 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $88,839.26 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$800.411 | -$857.036 | -$934.253 |
| 10.0% | -$742.905 | -$784.653 | -$839.248 |
| 11.0% | -$697.521 | -$729.308 | -$769.572 |