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The St. Joe Company
JOEReal EstateNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $513.32M | 22.5% | $115.50M | $186.85M | N/A |
| 2027 | $576.46M | 22.5% | $129.70M | $209.83M | $190.76M |
| 2028 | $647.37M | 22.5% | $145.66M | $235.64M | $194.75M |
| 2029 | $726.99M | 22.5% | $163.57M | $264.63M | $198.82M |
| 2030 | $816.41M | 22.5% | $183.69M | $297.17M | $202.97M |
| 2031 | $916.83M | 22.5% | $206.29M | $333.73M | $207.22M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.00 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +57.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $19.384 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 29.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $573.75 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $356.26 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $249.38 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $178.13 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $70.017 | $79.21 | $91.746 |
| 10.0% | $60.747 | $67.524 | $76.388 |
| 11.0% | $53.442 | $58.603 | $65.14 |