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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20.29B | 22.6% | $4.59B | -$872.44M | N/A |
| 2027 | $17.33B | 22.6% | $3.92B | -$745.06M | -$677.33M |
| 2028 | $14.80B | 22.6% | $3.34B | -$636.28M | -$525.85M |
| 2029 | $12.64B | 22.6% | $2.86B | -$543.38M | -$408.25M |
| 2030 | $10.79B | 22.6% | $2.44B | -$464.05M | -$316.95M |
| 2031 | $9.22B | 22.6% | $2.08B | -$396.30M | -$246.07M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $18.20 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -7.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $12.594 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $124.68 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $77.414 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $54.19 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $38.707 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$16.842 | -$17.171 | -$17.621 |
| 10.0% | -$16.50 | -$16.743 | -$17.06 |
| 11.0% | -$16.228 | -$16.413 | -$16.648 |