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JD.com, Inc.
JDConsumer CyclicalNASDAQCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.31T | 1.5% | $19.64B | $5.24B | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.38T | 1.5% | $20.74B | $5.53B | $5.03B |
| 2028 | $1.46T | 1.5% | $21.90B | $5.84B | $4.83B |
| 2029 | $1.54T | 1.5% | $23.12B | $6.17B | $4.63B |
| 2030 | $1.63T | 1.5% | $24.42B | $6.51B | $4.45B |
| 2031 | $1.72T | 1.5% | $25.79B | $6.88B | $4.27B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $12.90 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.003 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $14.645 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $9.094 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $6.366 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $4.547 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $20.487 | $21.497 | $22.874 |
| 10.0% | $19.463 | $20.208 | $21.182 |
| 11.0% | $18.655 | $19.222 | $19.941 |