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Hongli Group Inc.
HLPBasic MaterialsNASDAQCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $19.60M | 9.9% | $1.94M | $666.4K | N/A |
| 2027 | $21.56M | 9.9% | $2.13M | $733.1K | $666.4K |
| 2028 | $23.72M | 9.9% | $2.35M | $806.4K | $666.4K |
| 2029 | $26.09M | 9.9% | $2.58M | $887.0K | $666.4K |
| 2030 | $28.70M | 9.9% | $2.84M | $975.7K | $666.4K |
| 2031 | $31.57M | 9.9% | $3.13M | $1.07M | $666.4K |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.027 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.278 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 39.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $10.92 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $6.781 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $4.746 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $3.39 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $0.022 | $0.033 | $0.048 |
| 10.0% | $0.011 | $0.019 | $0.03 |
| 11.0% | $0.003 | $0.009 | $0.017 |